Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.013212 0.016197 0.019994 0.025306 0.032757 0.043195 0.059631
2025-02-16 0.009596 0.012867 0.017621 0.025442 0.038922 0.063441 0.118653
2025-02-23 0.007728 0.010943 0.016023 0.025344 0.044037 0.086239 0.221499
2025-03-02 0.006362 0.009332 0.014289 0.024100 0.046098 0.105264 0.371492
2025-03-09 0.005495 0.008298 0.013198 0.023557 0.049286 0.131699 0.688213
2025-03-16 0.004968 0.007715 0.012742 0.024099 0.055559 0.179107 1.704391
2025-03-23 0.004503 0.007150 0.012177 0.024182 0.060776 0.235712 5.098586
2025-03-30 0.004017 0.006472 0.011246 0.023079 0.061626 0.275386 14.968656
2025-04-06 0.003659 0.005981 0.010606 0.022515 0.064131 0.337521 117.029497
2025-04-13 0.003449 0.005741 0.010448 0.023185 0.072133 0.486497 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003342 0.005684 0.010675 0.025036 0.087529 0.865346 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003224 0.005588 0.010797 0.026645 0.104447 1.630933 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002992 0.005261 0.010384 0.026661 0.114802 2.845450 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002791 0.004977 0.010036 0.026841 0.127982 5.994882 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002604 0.004698 0.009649 0.026738 0.139928 14.332314 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002392 0.004342 0.009000 0.025400 0.139685 24.755075 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002233 0.004086 0.008577 0.024816 0.146371 74.879227 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002132 0.003948 0.008446 0.025398 0.167764 6940.530758 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002025 0.003785 0.008218 0.025488 0.185210 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001890 0.003546 0.007743 0.024303 0.183468 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001785 0.003366 0.007414 0.023698 0.189846 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001725 0.003287 0.007365 0.024417 0.221595 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001699 0.003287 0.007547 0.026406 0.292331 NaN NaN